Top line decelerating.
+0.3% YoY versus +2.5% prior. 3y CAGR +1.7%.
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Consumer Staples Β· Market Cap: $348.4B
Fundamentals as of 2026-03-31
All analysis on this page is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Fair values are model-based estimates. Always do your own research.
The Question
2 of 2 legendary models say HOLD PG.
What would legendary investors pay for PG?
These figures are not quotes or opinions from Buffett, Graham, Lynch or the other investors. They are our own estimates, computed by applying the intrinsic-value formulas each investor is known for to this companyβs financials.
For educational purposes only. Not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.
Yes β The Procter & Gamble Company's 23.2% ROE ranks above the S&P 500 median, and D/E 1.35 stays within healthy bounds.
Financial story
Yes β The Procter & Gamble Company's 23.2% ROE shows strong capital efficiency, and its 1.35 debt-to-equity stays within healthy bounds.
Bottom line: PG is rated BUY by 1 of 2 legendary models, with 1 holding and 0 flagging it overvalued, but earns a C sector grade (54/100) in Consumer Staples. Whether the premium is justified depends on which lens you trust. Drill into the valuation breakdown and sector ranking for the full picture.
Strength. At ~22x earnings, Procter & Gamble trades about 12% below its own ten-year average multiple β a Dividend King in its 70th straight year of increases, priced at a discount to its own history rather than a premium. The quarter ended March 2026 delivered the first company-wide volume growth in roughly a year; whether that flicker becomes a trend is the question the price keeps open.
Risk. Strip out currency and price, and Procter & Gamble barely grew for most of fiscal 2026 β organic sales hit 0% in the December quarter, and March's core profit rose only on foreign exchange, not units sold. A tariff bill near $500M this year could swell toward $1B in fiscal 2027 if oil holds near $100; what the ~22x multiple still assumes about margins is the open question.
How does PG compare?
At about $149.61 (June 19, 2026), P&G trades near 22x trailing earnings β roughly 12% below its own ten-year median of about 25x, and below peers like Colgate (~24x) and Coca-Cola (~26x). The market is paying mostly for certainty: a 70-year streak of dividend increases, gross margins near 50%, and about $15 billion of trailing free cash flow. What that multiple does not price in is an acceleration; it assumes durable low-single-digit growth and no re-rating.
For most of fiscal 2026, mostly prices and currency. Organic sales went +2%, then +2%, then 0% in the December quarter, before recovering to +3% in the quarter ended March 31, 2026 β and only in that March quarter did volume (units sold) turn positive (+2%), the first company-wide volume growth in about a year. In March, core profit rose 3% but was flat once currency is stripped out: every cent of the growth came from foreign exchange, not the underlying business.
P&G pays $4.35 per share annually (a quarterly $1.0885, raised about 3% in April 2026), a yield near 2.8% at ~$150. April 2026 marked the 70th consecutive year of dividend increases β among the longest streaks in the market, with payments unbroken since 1890. The company plans roughly $10 billion of dividends and $5 billion of buybacks in fiscal 2026, against about $15 billion of trailing free cash flow, so the payout is comfortably covered by cash generation.
Costs are the clearest risk. P&G has flagged roughly $500 million of tariff headwinds for fiscal 2026, and warned at a June 10, 2026 conference that a sustained ~$100 oil price could add around $1 billion of after-tax cost in fiscal 2027. Layered on top: volume that only just turned positive, soft demand in Greater China, private-label competition, and reported gross and operating margins that each fell about 150 basis points in the March quarter despite productivity savings.
See exactly where PG ranks
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Sign in to see the rankingPG sits at #20 in Consumer Staples with a C grade (54/100).
Shailesh Jejurikar became president and CEO on January 1, 2026, succeeding Jon Moeller, who is now executive chairman. Jejurikar is the executive who helped announce P&G's June 2025 restructuring: up to 7,000 non-manufacturing roles cut (about 15% of that workforce) over two years, plus portfolio simplification and possible brand or market exits, at a pre-tax cost of $1.0β1.6 billion. In short, the architect of the cuts now owns the turnaround.
The 12-month consensus price target is about $163 (the mean of 25 analysts as of June 11, 2026), in a range from $142 to $186 β roughly 9% above the ~$150 price. The most bullish named call is Jefferies at $175; the most cautious is Piper Sandler at $142. Separately, forward-EPS-enhanced super-investor screens (Buffett and Munger style) place intrinsic value near $169 to $204, bracketing both the price and the consensus.
| Firm | Target | Upside | vs. price | Rating | Recent move | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JE Jefferies Kaumil Gajrawala | $175 | +16% | Buy | lowered $179β$175 | Apr 20 | |
UBS UBS Peter Grom | $172 |

| +14% |
| Buy |
| raised $166β$172 |
| Apr 27 |
RC RBC Capital Nik Modi | $167 | +11% | Outperform | maintained | Jun 11 |
MS Morgan Stanley Dara Mohsenian | $166 | +10% | Overweight | lowered $175β$166 | Apr 22 |
WF Wells Fargo Chris Carey | $164 | +9% | Overweight | raised $158β$164 | Apr 27 |
JM J.P. Morgan Andrea Teixeira | $164 | +9% | Overweight | maintained | Apr 29 |
DB Deutsche Bank Steve Powers | $163 | +8% | Buy | reiterated | Apr 27 |
BE Bernstein Cristian Rios | $156 | +4% | Market Perform | initiated | Jun 11 |
![]() TD Cowen Robert Moskow | $150 | β0% | Hold | raised $142β$150 | Apr 27 |
PS Piper Sandler Michael Lavery | $142 | β6% | Neutral | lowered $150β$142 | Apr 8 |